Table of Content
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- Bay Area Home Prices Continue to Drop Along With Inventory
- California Home Price Trends 2022
- Bay Area Home Prices Actually Dropping; Cities Here Dominate the ‘Fastest-Cooling Housing Markets’ List
- Why Bay Area Home Prices (Probably) Won’t Drop in 2022 Housing Reporter
San Francisco has around 56 percent of its residents living in rental homes. People saw no reason they should move when mortgage rates started to increase. It’s clear we need more units,” said Orphe Divounguy, an economist with Zillow, the Seattle-based housing data research firm. In 2022, mortgage rates surged to more than double those at pre-pandemic levels when they stood at 3% for a 30-year fixed.
If you can afford it, then it’s an investment that will continue to increase in value over time. Not only that but sales in eight of the nine counties in the Bay Area fell more than 35 percent in October, with Napa plunging the most by 47.5%. The huge decline in sales occurs as mortgage rates increase, discouraging purchasers. After two years of pandemic-fueled growth to the Bay Area’s already sky-high home prices, home values are sinking quickly in the region, thanks to rising mortgage rates and a shaky stock market.
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During the pandemic, San Francisco darling Che Fico added a controversial fee on top of tipping to support its workers. The funds go toward health insurance, 401 matching and paid parental leave — all rarities in the restaurant industry, made possible by its 10% dining-in charge. Despite receiving 2,300 doses from the federal government, people say it’s not enough. Yesterday, members of the city’s LGBTQ communities, led by Supervisor Rafael Mandelman, rallied at City Hall in hopes of pressuring local and federal governments for more monkeypox vaccines. San Jose is seeing the biggest drop in pending home sales of any Bay Area city, down 21% over the past year. (Though the biggest drop in the nation, at 39%, is… Boise, Idaho?) Oakland sales are down 16%, and San Francisco sales are down 14%.
Tight inventory conditions are one reason why Bay Area home prices probably won’t drop any time soon. Turn on the local news over the next few days, and you’ll probably see at least one story about the housing supply shortage. For obvious reasons, no one can predict future housing trends with total accuracy. But if current trends and forecasts are a good indicator, it seems unlikely that Bay Area home prices will drop in 2022.
Bay Area Home Prices Continue to Drop Along With Inventory
Existing, single-family home sales are forecast to total 333,450 units in 2023, a decline of 7.2 percent from 2022’s projected pace of 359,220. Here's a rundown of the California housing market demand for the week ending November 5, 2022. At the regional level, all major regions experienced sharp declines from last year.

It, therefore, represents the whole housing stock and not just the homes that list or sell in a given month. By this calculation, the current typical home value of homes in California is $769,405. It indicates that 50 percent of all housing stock in the area is worth more than $769,405 and 50 percent is worth less . Courtesy of Car.orgLet us look at the price trends recorded by Zillow over the past few years. Since the last twelve months, California home values have appreciated by nearly 8.7% — Zillow Home Value Index. ZHVI is not the median price of homes that are sold in a month within a geographic region.
California Home Price Trends 2022
Typical home values in the central Bay Area have dropped by $80,100 from May to September, to a still-considerable $1.37 million. While the price declines are great for buyers, they’re causing sellers in these markets to sweat, as many begin to drop their asking price. But, nationally, prices are still up 14% since this time last year, even if they’ve dropped since early summer. And although home prices are down in these metros, when compared with the June peak, they’re all still up year over year.
Higher mortgage rates are playing an important role in the moderation of price growth. Bay Area (San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward Metro) home values have gone upover the past year but they are expected to decline by 3.6% from Oct 2022 to Oct 2023 . This page has been updated to reflect the most recent trends in theBay Area housing market.
Due to low-interest rates in 2021, there was an influx of high-end luxury buyers, with certain instances where homes have been sold for $1 million over asking. Let’s talk a bit about San Francisco and the surrounding bay area before we discuss what lies ahead for investors and homebuyers. It is the hub of the San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland area; this larger metro area is home to nearly nine million people. Also, some people said they're hesitant to sell right now, because prices are dropping. Especially in a severely underbuilt housing market like the Bay Area, Ratiu said, the lack of inventory is still a problem.

She’s noted the disconnect between the industry’s expectations and reality. Before that, she spent a summer in Chicago as a reporting intern covering immigration in the Midwest. Adriana graduated from the University of Texas at Austin in 2019 with a degree in International Relations and Global Studies with a minor in Journalism. “Some people would rather have a little bit more money in an abusive environment than less money in a much more nourishing environment,” server Kyle Quinn told The Chronicle. We invite you to use our commenting platform to engage in insightful conversations about issues in our community. NewsNews Based on facts, either observed and verified directly by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.
On top of that, the Bay Area’s economy, which relies heavily on tech, has been hit harder by volatility in the stock market and job losses in the tech sector, further decreasing demand in the region. Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow, noted that’s unlikely to change in 2023. The San Francisco real estate market is, for better or for worse, beholden to several competing interest groups. For those with money that own their homes and have the most influence, “not in my backyard” or NIMBY means that voters fight any proposal to replace a 2 or 3-story warehouse with a 20-story apartment or condo building.

Real estate in the popular city is still appreciating year over year. But after hitting nearly $680,000 for the median home in June of this year, prices are down 8%. But in the past year, the historic city on the water has been on a price roller coaster. It has seen the biggest fluctuation in price increases and decreases of any place on this list. The area is full of investor-owners, who were often able to purchase with cash, in all likelihood causing some of the breakneck price growth. Danielle Echeverria is a reporter for The Chronicle's Engagement and Breaking News team.
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